Canadian Property Market Hurt by Tariff Concerns - Kanebridge News
Share Button

Canadian Property Market Hurt by Tariff Concerns

Early indications from several big regional real-estate boards suggest March was overall another down month.

By Robb M. Stewart
Tue, Apr 15, 2025 2:06pmGrey Clock 3 min

OTTAWA–The nascent recovery in Canada’s housing market has become a casualty of the trade dispute with the U.S.

The latest national home-resale data are due out Tuesday, but early indications from several big regional real-estate boards suggest March was overall another down month as many prospective buyers exercised caution.

The recent weakness in home sales has dimmed the previously brighter outlook for the property market coming into 2025, when buyers were encouraged by the Bank of Canada’s aggressive interest-rate cuts.

“The chills the U.S. trade war has sent through participants in the housing market are getting frostier,” said Robert Hogue , assistant chief economist at Royal Bank of Canada.

Hogue said resales are down materially in a number of markets two months running, and home prices in several markets are coming under pressure as inventories rise. And although Canada was spared additional levies when President Trump unveiled so-called reciprocal tariffs on dozens of countries earlier this month, no meaningful rebound is likely so long as trade uncertainty lingers, he said.

Home buyers in Toronto, Canada’s most populous city and the country’s financial hub, aren’t turning up for the usual spring pickup in property-market activity.

Sales in the Greater Toronto Area slumped 23.1% in March from a year earlier, as new listings for the region jumped close to 29%, according to the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board. That marked the worst month of resales since 1998.

The board’s chief information officer, Jason Mercer , said many potential home buyers were likely taking a wait-and-see approach given the economic worries as well as a pending federal election. “Homebuyers need to feel their employment situation is solid before committing to monthly mortgage payments over the long term,” he said, adding that ownership has become more affordable and prices in the area fell about 3.8% year on year in March.

Uncertainty is also weighing on the housing market in Calgary, the biggest city in oil-rich Alberta. The city’s real-estate board said realtors reported a 19% drop in sales of existing homes from last year, with a similar trend of improving supply and a sharp increase in the average number of days that homes were on the market.

On the West Coast, home sales registered in the metro Vancouver area of British Columbia were the lowest for March since 2019, falling 13.4% on a year earlier and coming in close to 37% below the 10-year seasonal average, while active listings continued to rise.

There are some areas of resilience. The Quebec Professional Association of Real Estate Brokers said total sales in the province were up 9% year on year in March. Still, RBC’s Hogue estimated Montreal sales in March were down about 15% from December seasonally adjusted, effectively rolling back the advance since the end of last summer.

The most recent national data for the country, from the Canadian Real Estate Association, showed resales dropped 9.8% month over month in February, when homebuyers may also have been put off by harsh winter storms in parts of the country. That marked the sharpest fall since May 2022 and brought the level of sales to their lowest level since November 2023, snapping signs that activity had been picking up in recent months.

Rishi Sondhi , an economist at Toronto-Dominion Bank, in a recent report estimated the country was tracking toward a double-digit quarterly decline in Canadian home sales and a mid-single-digit drop in Canadian average home prices for the first three months of 2025. That is much weaker than a pre-Trump inauguration forecast made in December that projected a loosening in federal mortgage rules, lower interest rates and continued economic growth would fuel a modest gain in sales and prices.

Central-bank officials are set to decide Wednesday on monetary policy, but they have signaled a cautious approach to rates as they balance the prospect of tariffs stoking price pressures against the likelihood that they will dampen demand and weigh on the economy. That could mean the Bank of Canada will pause after seven straight cuts to its policy rate.

Housing is a hot topic for party leaders campaigning ahead of the April 28 election, with both the incumbent Liberal Party and opposition Conservatives proposing tax cuts and incentives to encourage buyers and builders.

The outlook for new homes has also dimmed with the tariff threat. The value of residential-building permits issued in February fell 2.9% from a month prior, adding to a retreat in January that took back some of the surge in intentions in the final month of last year, Statistics Canada data last week showed.

MOST POPULAR

Records keep falling in 2025 as harbourfront, beachfront and blue-chip estates crowd the top of the market.

A 30-metre masterpiece unveiled in Monaco brings Lamborghini’s supercar drama to the high seas, powered by 7,600 horsepower and unmistakable Italian design.

Related Stories
Property
Revealed: Australia’s most expensive houses & the records they’re smashing
By Staff Writer 14/10/2025
Property
Eclectic House With a James Bond-Style Garage on the Portuguese Riviera Lists for €10 Million
By CHAVA GOURARIE 07/10/2025
Property
MELBOURNE HOUSING POISED FOR CYCLICAL RECOVERY IN 2025–26
By Staff Writer 30/09/2025

Records keep falling in 2025 as harbourfront, beachfront and blue-chip estates crowd the top of the market.

By Staff Writer
Tue, Oct 14, 2025 5 min

Australia’s luxury property market is once again reaching dizzying heights. After a brief slowdown, national home values have surged to new records in 2025, and nowhere is that more evident than at the top end of town.

While median prices are rising across most capital cities, the ultra-prestige segment is seeing even sharper growth, with trophy homes fetching never-before-seen sums.

Demand for harbourfront, beachfront, and blue-chip inner-city estates remains intense, driven by a mix of local billionaires, global buyers and intergenerational wealth.

This year alone, Australia’s residential record has been rewritten, with sales surpassing $130 million, and even an apartment now holding the crown as the nation’s most expensive dwelling.

From Sydney’s Point Piper to Melbourne’s Toorak, Brisbane’s riverfronts to Perth’s Golden Triangle, these exclusive enclaves continue to define the country’s property elite.

We’ve taken a closer look at the most expensive houses across Australia’s largest capitals, the landmark sales that have set new benchmarks, and the homes that could challenge those records if they ever hit the market.

Elaine Gardens

Sydney

House Price Record: $130 million
Residential Record: $141.5 million

Sydney’s harbour has always commanded the city’s highest price points, with Point Piper the main epicentre.

For years, the residential house price record was held in Point Piper. First, Atlassian billionaire Scott Farquhar spent a record $71 million on Elaine, the Seven Shillings beachfront estate that had been in the Fairfax family for generations.

That 2017 sale held the top spot until the following year, when Farquhar’s Atlassian co-founder Mike Cannon-Brookes spent $100 million on Fairwater next door, following the death of Lady Mary Fairfax.

The grand heritage-listed mansion dates back to the early 1880s and sits on 1.12 hectares, far larger than Elaine, which is just shy of 7,000 sqm.

The Fairwater sale has only been topped twice. Last year, Farquhar purchased Uig Lodge for $130 million, one of the highest homes in Point Piper, with sweeping views of the harbour.

In turn, he sold Elaine for the same amount to a consortium led by tech entrepreneur Patrick Shi, CEO of Acce Investments Group. The group reportedly intends to subdivide the 7,000 sqm parcel into four blocks for new trophy homes.

There are several harbourfront properties that could challenge the record should they ever transact. This year, Aussie John Symond reportedly turned down offers exceeding $200 million for his home, colloquially known as “Aussie Stadium.”

The four-level residence, one of only three on Wolseley Road’s Windmill Point, took eight years to build and features six bedrooms, an eight-car garage, a 22-seat theatre, and a 2,500-bottle wine cellar.

Another contender is the Vaucluse waterfront compound owned by Menulog founder Leon Kamenev. Kamenev spent $80 million on the land alone in 2016, four amalgamated blocks totalling 4,200 sqm, before demolishing the existing homes to create a mega-mansion that cost more than $30 million to construct.

Meriton founder Harry Triguboff’s Wentworth Road property, also in Vaucluse, would likely compete for top spot. He first bought a block on the prized waterfront street in 1983 and acquired the adjacent property in 1998 to create over 5,200 sqm.

The Packer family compound could return the record to Bellevue Hill if it ever sold. Sir Frank Packer began assembling the estate, Cairnton, in 1935; his son Kerry added further titles through the 1980s and 1990s. The property now spans 1.1 hectares across Kambala and Victoria Roads.

The aforementioned Fairwater would almost certainly exceed $130 million today, given its larger harbourside footprint compared to Elaine.

Sydney’s highest property price, however, isn’t a house, it’s a penthouse. The One Sydney Harbour penthouse in Barangaroo sold off the plan in 2019 for $141.55 million. The three-level residence spans over 1,600 sqm and includes nine bedrooms, a private rooftop pool, spa, and gym.

Blair House, Toorak

Melbourne

House Price Record: $130 million+

In Melbourne, Toorak is the equivalent of Point Piper. The rich-lister suburb home to the nation’s highest concentration of billionaires, including Lindsay Fox, John Gandel, and Solomon Lew.

The highest price achieved, though yet to settle, is for Coonac, the 1867-built mansion reportedly sold earlier this year for around $130 million. It was the longtime home of billionaire developer Paul Little and his wife, University of Melbourne Chancellor Jane Hansen.

While Coonac sits on Clendon Road, alongside the Myer family’s Cranlana compound, currently seeking around $100 million, Toorak’s most consistently expensive street is St Georges Road.

It previously held the Victorian record when crypto billionaire Ed Craven bought the long-abandoned “Ghost Mansion” for $80 million in 2022. He has since demolished the structure and is set to build a new luxury residence on the vast 7,187 sqm site.

Other notable St Georges Road sales include Blair House, which fetched $74.5 million in 2022 when purchased by tech entrepreneur Grant Rule.

Outside Toorak, billionaire Anthony Pratt’s Raheen estate in Kew remains one of the state’s most valuable homes. The heritage-listed Italianate mansion, built in the 1870s for Edward Latham of Carlton Brewery, has been in the Pratt family since 1981 and was recently refurbished by Anthony following his father Richard’s passing in 2016.

Sutherland Ave, Ascot

Brisbane

House Price Record: $23 million

The Brisbane record was set earlier this year when BWC Group construction boss Brett Walker sold his Ascot home for $23 million.

Walker had bought the 1930s Queenslander from Ray White Chairman Brian White in 2021 for $10 million and spent another $7 million on extensive upgrades.

The 1920s home with six bedrooms sits on a private 3,035 sqm block with a championship-size floodlit tennis court, swimming pool, and cricket pitch.

The sale comfortably surpassed the previous record, set in 2023 when the 1890s waterfront Amity House in New Farm sold for $20.5 million.

New Farm also holds the city’s apartment record, set this year when coal baron Matthew Latimore, founder of M Resources, spent $17.5 million on a two-level penthouse atop the Cutters Landing building on Refinery Parade. The 740 sqm residence includes a sauna, steam room, ice bath, and spa.

There had been suggestions the penthouse atop the Pier building in Newstead would sell for $20 million, but it ultimately settled for $16 million.

Queensland’s priciest homes, however, sit beyond Brisbane. The state record was set earlier this year when DISSH fashion owners Lucy Henry-Hicks and Mitchell Lau purchased three adjoining beachfront properties for $40 million on Palm Beach’s Jefferson Lane.

Some don’t consider it a record, given it was an amalgamation. If it wasn’t to be a record, the highest price is $34 million, in Sunshine Beach. Webb House was bought by Peter Tighe, Non-Executive Chairman of AuKing Mining and part-owner of champion mare Winx, in 2021.

Western Australia

House Price Record: $56 million

Western Australia’s luxury market has surged. According to Knight Frank’s Prime Global Cities Index, Perth ranked 16th globally in Q1 2025 for luxury property price growth, rising 3.8 per cent over the year to March.

The priciest homes typically cluster in Dalkeith, Mosman Park, and Peppermint Grove. The state’s record was set when Mineral Resources co-founder Chris Ellison purchased a Mosman Park residence on Saunders Street for $56 million.

That same street saw another notable sale this year, a 2016-built luxury home with dual Gaggenau and Sub-Zero kitchens, a solar-heated magnesium pool, 600-bottle wine cellar, 13-person lift, and panoramic river views, for $22.75 million.

Many of Perth’s top-end sales occurred in the post-GFC mining boom, though some values later softened.

In 2011, Mineral Resources co-founder Steve Wyatt paid $39 million for a Dalkeith mansion; it resold in 2020 for $27.5 million to entrepreneur Danny Pavlovich and his wife, Suza.