It’s potentially good news for buyers, as low supply was a major element pushing prices higher last year
2 min
A low supply of homes for sale was a key factor pushing prices higher last year, in defiance of well-established historical trends in which home values always fall when interest rates rise. But the tide may be turning in buyers’ favour, with PropTrack data showing a 22 percent increase in new listings coming onto the market across the combined capital cities last month compared to February 2023.
Senior REA economist Angus Moore said the 22 percent lift was the highest increase in new listings across the capitals for the month of February since 2012. “Property markets in capital cities, Sydney and Melbourne especially, saw a strong start to 2024, with the busiest January and February since 2012 across the combined capital cities,” Mr Moore said.
“Supporting this busier start to the year … was strong demand, unemployment that remained low by historical standards, strong population growth, tight rental market conditions, and a more stable outlook for interest rates.”
The Reserve Bank announced on Tuesday that interest rates would remain on hold for a third consecutive month at 4.35 percent.
“Markets are no longer expecting a further increase in interest rates, with an expectation of cuts as soon as the second half of this year,” Mr Moore said.
The biggest increases in new listings were seen in Melbourne with 35.4 percent more homes for sale, along with Sydney at 33.6 percent and Canberra at 32.2 percent. There was an 8.5 percent increase in listings in Brisbane, and only a 2.1 percent increase in Perth and a 1.1 percent increase in Adelaide. Listing numbers dipped slightly in Hobart and Darwin.
There was a 7.8 percent increase in new listings across the combined regional areas, with last month’s volume broadly in line with the pace of activity that has been typical for the month of February over the past decade. The biggest increases in new listings were in regional Victoria at 12.8 percent, regional NSW at 12.2 percent and regional Tasmania at 9.8 percent. Mr Moore said that while new listings increased only 1.6 percent in regional Queensland, this was the first year-on-year increase in new listings recorded since August 2022.
Senior REA data analyst Karen Dellow said recent data from realestate.com.au’s Residential Audience Pulse Survey showed homeowners were feeling more confident to sell. The survey revealed that one in ten owners were contemplating selling their property when the survey was taken in January. Seller confidence has shot up, with 43 percent of respondents considering it a favourable time to sell, up from 34 percent last year.
“Western Australia has the highest seller sentiment, with 63 percent of respondents expressing optimism about the current market, marking a substantial 70.3 percent increase from last year,” Ms Dellow said. “NSW, Queensland, and South Australia have also witnessed substantial growth in seller sentiment over the past year, with NSW up 53.8 percent.”
Ms Dellow said the primary drivers behind increasing seller confidence were rising prices and growing buyer demand. More than a third of sellers anticipated further price rises in the next six months, the survey showed.
“Lifestyle changes, such as relocating to a different area or seeking a property with specific amenities like a pool or more space, were the primary motivations for selling. Downsizing ranked second, reflecting the preferences of Australia’s ageing population seeking properties better suited to their evolving needs.”
Article originally published on Kanebridge News Australia
High rents and rising values are inspiring greater investor activity this year
3 min
Advertised rents on houses and apartments have risen by more than 40 percent nationwide since the pre-pandemic period, with a shortage of rental homes and record levels of net overseas migration pushing weekly rents higher and reducing vacancy rates to historical lows, said Proptrack senior economist Eleanor Creagh.
However, Ms Creagh said the pressure in Australia’s rental market should ease over the next year as overseas migration falls, with the Federal Government expecting it to halve from here. Meantime, home values have continued to lift because the supply versus demand imbalance is now so great it is trumping the traditional dampening effect of rising interest rates on prices. Proptrack data showed the national median value lifted for the 17th consecutive month in May.
“Despite a rise in the number of homes for sale this year, strong population growth, tight rental markets, and home equity gains are all contributing to demand, while the supply side of the housing market has fallen short and as a result, home prices reached a fresh peak in May as robust demand has continued to push prices upwards,” Ms Creagh said.
More investors are in the property market this year due to strong rental yields and continually rising values. Ms Creagh said lending to investors had reached record levels in Queensland, South Australia and Western Australia, which are the strongest states at the moment for capital city price growth and rental demand.
Proptrack has published data showing the top suburbs for rental yields in both the capital cities and regional areas of each state, as well as the suburbs with the highest capital growth over five years.
Here are the results for the five mainland states.
NSW
The suburbs with the highest rental yields for houses in Greater Sydney are Killarney Vale 4.2 percent, Watanobbi 4.1 percent, Blue Haven 4.1 percent, Woongarrah 4.1 percent and Airds 4.1 percent.
In the regions, the top rental yields can be found in Broken Hill 9 percent, Cobar 8.5 percent, South Lismore 8.3 percent, Boggabri 7.5 percent and Moree 7.2 percent. The top suburbs across NSW for capital growth over the past five years are Finley 126 percent, Culcairn 123 percent, Hay 108 percent, Broulee 106 percent and West Wyalong 105 percent.
Victoria
In Greater Melbourne, the suburbs with the highest rental house yields are Wollert 4.4 percent, Coolaroo 4.3 percent, Dallas 4.3 percent, Koo Wee Rup 4.2 percent and Roxburgh Park 4.2 percent. In the regions, the best rental yields for houses can be found in Red Cliffs 6 percent, Mooroopna 5.9 percent, Numurkah 5.9 percent, Stawell 5.8 percent and Morwell 5.6 percent.
The top Victorian suburbs for five-year capital growth are Warracknabeal 119 percent, Orbost 108 percent, Beechworth 102 percent, Myrtleford 100 percent and Euroa 99 percent.
Queensland
The suburbs with the highest rental house yields in Greater Brisbane are Laidley North 6.1 percent, Laidley 5.6 percent, Churchill 5.5 percent, North Booval 5.5 percent and Russell Island 5.4 percent. In the regions, the top rental-yielding suburbs are Collinsville 10.4 percent, Moura 10.1 percent, Moranbah 9.7 percent, Pioneer 9.6 percent and Blackwater 9.5 percent.
The Sunshine State’s fastest-growing suburbs for home values over five years are Mount Morgan 157 percent, Woodford 126 percent, Dysart 122 percent, Mount Coolum 121 percent and Worongary 114 percent.
South Australia
The suburbs with the highest rental yields for houses in Greater Adelaide are Eyre 5.6 percent, Elizabeth North 5.6 percent, Smithfield Plains 5.6 percent, Munno Para 5.4 percent and Salisbury North 5.4 percent. The best rental yields in regional South Australia can be found in Whyalla Norrie 7.9 percent, Risdon Park 7.8 percent, Port Pirie South 7.8 percent, Whyalla Stuart 7.7 percent and Port Augusta 7.6 percent.
The top South Australian suburbs for five-year capital growth are Elizabeth Downs and Elizabeth North – both at 135 percent, Elizabeth South 127 percent, Elizabeth East 123 percent and Hackham West 117 percent.
Western Australia
The suburbs with the highest rental yields for houses in Greater Perth are Hilbert 6.4 percent, Medina 6.3 percent, Stratton 6.3 percent, Balga 6.3 percent and Dayton 6.2 percent. The best rental yields across regional areas can be found in Kambalda East 12.2 percent, Kambalda West 11.2 percent, Nickol 11 percent, South Headland 10.9 percent and Newman 10.7 percent.
The top West Australian suburbs for capital growth over the past five years are South Hedland 135 percent, Rangeway 116 percent, Darlington 115 percent, Cooloongup 114 percent and Spalding 113 percent.
